Top 10 Most Dangerous Countries
Country Threat Index (CTI)
Based on Terrorist & Rebel Activity Over Past 30 Days
as of 8 Mar. 2015

IntelCenter's Country Threat Index (CTI) examines the volume of terrorist and rebel alerts, messaging traffic, videos, photos, incidents and the number killed and injured in a country over the past 30 days and runs it through an algorithm to assign the country its CTI. The higher the CTI the greater the risk.

The top 10 most dangerous countries in the world based on terrorist and rebel activity over the past 30 days as of 8 Mar. 2015 are shown below with their CTI rankings and score. The pie chart above shows what percentage of global CTI each of the top 10 countries represent. Up-to-the-minute CTI rankings for all countries are contained in the IntelCenter Database (ICD).

There are a total of 49 countries with a CTI greater than zero. The average CTI for these countries is 66. The Global CTI is 3,233.

Methodology Note:
A low CTI does not necessarily reflect the absence of risk as the US in the lead-up to 9-11 would have had a low CTI. It does, however, reflect a lower level of activity over the preceding 30 days which means high-volume activity is unlikely but one-off events are always a possibility. The CTI should never be the sole measure of risk in a country but rather one factor to take into consideration. The CTI is based solely on terrorist and rebel related activity. It does not evaluate other risk factors such as crime and political instability. The Global CTI is arrived at by adding up each individual country's CTI. It serves as an overall indicator of global terrorist and rebel activity. Each country's live up-to-the-minute CTI ranking along with all the data used to arrive at the CTI is available in the IntelCenter Database (ICD). IntelCenter is continuously adding new material to the ICD, including historical data to enhance the accuracy of the CTI and other data points. In order to have the most accurate information, please always refer to the latest data available in the ICD.

The IntelCenter Database (ICD) allows users to easily track threats, tactics and targeting along with many other metrics related to terrorist and rebel groups. As of 8 Mar. 2015, the ICD has more than 151,000 records on terrorist and rebel activity. IntelCenter also provides analytical support services on terrorist and rebel tactics and targeting.

Reporting and original source materials are contained in the IntelCenter Database (ICD). Sign up for a free 10-day trial of the ICD and see additional details by clicking here.